Key takeaways
Ripple (XRP) tests support at $1.43 amid selling pressure from the $1.50 supply zone.
Institutional ETF inflows rebound to $1.37B, while futures open interest rises to $3.09B, signaling cautious optimism.
Ripple (XRP) is grinding lower on Friday, testing key support at $1.43 after being capped by strong selling from the $1.50 supply range since Monday.
Despite the US Senate Banking Committee advancing the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (Clarity Act) on Thursday, overall market sentiment remains constrained amid a cautious recovery outlook.
XRP addresses in profit tick up
The proportion of XRP addresses with unrealized profit rose to approximately 65% on Thursday, up from 63% the previous day, coinciding with the token’s test of $1.50 resistance.
This reflects a modest increase in risk-on sentiment, though traders should remain wary of potential profit-taking in a fragile technical environment.
Institutional flows into XRP spot ETFs rebounded sharply, with nearly $19 million in fresh inflows on Thursday. Cumulative ETF inflows now total $1.37 billion, while average net assets under management rose to $1.25 billion from $1.14 billion.
Retail participation in XRP derivatives also continues to grow. Futures Open Interest (OI) averaged $2.97 billion on Friday, up from $2.90 billion, signaling rising conviction among traders in XRP’s potential to extend an upward trajectory.
Technical outlook: consolidation within the corrective phase
The XRP/USD 4-hour chart is bearish and efficient as XRP has lost lost 2.5% of its value in the last 24 hours. XRP trades at $1.43, holding a neutral to mildly constructive bias.
It is trading above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1.42 while remaining capped beneath the 100-day EMA at $1.49 and the 200-day EMA at $1.70. This configuration suggests an ongoing consolidation within a broader corrective phase.
If the bears stay in control, immediate support will emerge at the 50-day EMA around $1.42, with a rising trendline near $1.39 providing a stronger floor. A daily close below $1.39 could expose deeper losses.
However, if the bulls push harder, they would encounter initial resistance at the 100-day EMA at $1.49. A sustained break above this level would open the path toward the 200-day EMA near $1.70, where broader bearish pressure would be challenged.
The momentum indicator suggests that the bears are slowly regaining control. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 51, and the MACD histogram is slightly positive, indicating limited directional conviction rather than a strong impulsive move.
XRP’s price action suggests ongoing consolidation within a corrective phase, with both buyers and sellers vying for control around critical EMA levels.
