Tag: Prediction markets

Key TakeawaysStanford and SMU researchers found 821 traders took $8.2 million from Polymarket’s 5-minute bitcoin bets.Net order flow on Binance ...

Key TakeawaysLeBron James left the Lakers in July 2026 after eight seasons, ending his tenure there.Kalshi prices a Cleveland return ...

Key TakeawaysArkham Intelligence launched Prediction Market Elo on June 29, 2026, ranking Polymarket traders by accuracy rather than profit or ...

Key TakeawaysCboe launched XSP binary options via Interactive Brokers, entering retail-focused prediction-style derivatives.Contracts offer fixed $100 or $0 payouts based ...

Prediction markets used to reward sharp instincts. The best traders were the ones who could read the news faster, think ...

Key TakeawaysKSA is collecting €420,000 (~$487,000) from Polymarket’s operator for halting Dutch service a day late.Only one week’s penalty was ...

Key TakeawaysCFTC proposed a June 10 framework with a 90-day review for certain event contracts.Kalshi gains clearer rules, while Polymarket ...

Key TakeawaysPolymarket’s “Imitators” dossier logs roughly a dozen incidents it says show Kalshi copying its launches.Kalshi overtook Polymarket in April ...

Key TakeawaysPolymarket’s June bitcoin market, with $6.22M in volume, prices a 62% chance BTC drops to $60,000 or below.Kalshi’s $60K-vs-$100K ...

Key TakeawaysKalshi sued the state of Minnesota on May 28 to block SF4760, a felony ban set to take effect ...